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Worlds Prediction game


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Here are the entries for worlds.  Remember that the Russian ladies team is Alina Zagitova, Sofia Samodurova, and Evgenia Medvedeva NOT Konstantinova

 

http://www.isuresults.com/events/fsevent03111664.htm

 

Rules

You have until the start of the first event on March 18 to get your final predictions in.  Hydroblade created an event somewhere with times in your zone but I’m blind and can’t find it at the moment so I’ll have to link it later.

 

I know how alluring that grand prize of “nothing” is but I feel that the honor system will be enough to keep everyone from changing predictions after the deadline.

 

If you make any changes to your predictions, please edit your original reply rather than posting an additional one.

 

I suggest predicting a top 5.  If someone withdraws, I’ll bump everyone you predicted below that person up a spot.  


 

Scoring 

1 point if your skater is within 2 places of your predicted placement

3 points for every correct placement

 

Bonus questions are worth 2 point each

 

eta: it occurred to me that maybe it doesn't make sense to award extra points for getting an entire podium or all the gold medalists, especially with "jinx factor" coming into play.  Maybe I should just reward points for podium placements with bonus points available if you also correctly predict 4th and 5th - then any 6th place pick will just be cushion in case of last minute withdrawals (knock on wood ).  Let me know if there's a preference.

 

 

List the top 5 (or more if you want an alternate in case of withdrawal) for each discipline.
 

Bonus Questions:

FYI,  in order to qualify 3 entrants for the following year, for 2-3 member teams the top 2 placements must total 13 or less.  For 1 member teams, the person must place in the top 2 to earn 3 spots.

 

To qualify 2 entrants, the top 2 placements must total 28 or less. If only 1 entrant, that skater/team needs to be top 10.

 

Each member nation automatically gets 1 entry per discipline provided that they have someone that can reach TES minimum.  For the questions, we will assume every country in question has at least 1 qualifying entry.

 

1. Which country will win the most medals?

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

6. Will there be a +5 Final GOE element in the competition?

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

8. Will anyone get a Final PCS of 10?

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

 

ETA: by composite I meant the final score after the high and low are dropped.  Just realized that the way I worded it might be confusing so I changed the wording on questions 6 and 8 to "final" GOE

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My predictions:

 

 

Quote

List the gold, silver, and bronze medalists (or more if you want an alternate in case of withdrawal) for each discipline.

Spoiler

 

Ladies

1 Kihira

2 Zagitova

3 Sakamoto

4 Miyahara

5 Medvedeva

6 Samodurova

 

Men

eta: deleted for fear of jinx after seeing results of SP

 

Dance

1 Papadakis/Cizeron

2 Hubbell/Donahue

3 Chock/Bates

4 Stepanova/Bukin

5 Weaver/Poje

6 Sinitsina/Katsalapov

 

Pairs - eta: changed due to S/H's injury

 

1 James/Cipres

2 Tarasova/Morosov

3. Sui/Han

4 Zabiako/Enbert

5 Peng/Jin

6 Moore-towers/Marinaro

 

Quote

Bonus Questions:

1. Which country will win the most medals?

Japan

 

Quote

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

Yes

Quote

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

3

 

Quote

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

Papadakis/Cizeron

 

Quote

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

Dance, Ladies

 

Quote

6. Will there be a +5 Composite GOE element in the competition?

Yes

 

Quote

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

deleted for fear of jinx

 

Quote

8. Will anyone get a Composite PCS of 10?

Yes

 

Quote

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

deleted for fear of jinx

 

Quote

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

Yes

 

Quote

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

Canada

 

Quote

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

Yes

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My wishlist  + predictions mixed in:

 

Ladies

Spoiler

1. Sakamoto

2. Kihira

3. Tursynbaeva

4. Miyahara

5. Zagitova

6. Hendrickx

 

Men

Spoiler

Abstain as I don't want to jinx it.

 

Dance

Spoiler

1. Papadakis / Cizeron (I'm not foolish enough to bet against them)

2. Stepanova / Bukin

3. Gilles / Poirier

4. Chock / Bates

5. Hurtado / Khailavin

6. Guignard / Fabri

 

Pairs

Spoiler

1. Sui / Han

2. James / Cipres

3. Boikova / Kozlovskii

4. Peng / Jin

5. Tarasova / Morozov

6. Zabiiako / Enbert

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

1. Which country will win the most medals?

Japan

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

No

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

3 - Men, Ladies, Ice Dance

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

Papadakis/Cizeron

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

Ice Dance

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

6. Will there be a +5 Composite GOE element in the competition?

Yes

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

H****

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

8. Will anyone get a Composite PCS of 10?

Yes

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

Who will have the highest total TES score?

H****

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

No

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

Canada

 

On 2/23/2019 at 12:00 PM, Old Cat Lady said:

Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds? 

Yes

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My predictions:

 

Quote

List the gold, silver, and bronze medalists (or more if you want an alternate in case of withdrawal) for each discipline.

 

Spoiler

Men: Not doing this for jinx :D

 

Ladies:

Rika Kihira

Kaori Sakamoto

Evgenia Medvedeva

Satoko Miyahara

Sofia Samodurova

Alina Zagitova

 

I don't want Alina to do poorly :tumblr_inline_mg16f1RxCn1qdlkyg: but IMO she either wins (well, top 2) or she bombs, and I see two japanese ladies on the podium so :tumblr_inline_n18qr8XewT1qid2nw:

 

Quote

Bonus Questions:

1. Which country will win the most medals?

 

Spoiler

 

Japan, just based on singles alone, but not even having a pairs team that can qualify for worlds is just super sad, so maybe Russia.

 

 

Quote

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

 

Spoiler

N--....oh wait, looks at predictions above, yes.

 

Quote

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

 

Spoiler

:smiley-devil:

 

Quote

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

 

Spoiler

Dunno the other disciplines well enough, but likely not men/ladies...

 

Quote

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

 

Spoiler

Ice Dance, Ladies. Men :smiley-devil: Remember that time everyone predicted men to have the most falls and we all lost?

 

Quote

6. Will there be a +5 Composite GOE element in the competition?

 

Spoiler

Yes.

 

Quote

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

 

Spoiler

No comment

 

Quote

8. Will anyone get a Composite PCS of 10?

 

Spoiler

The question should be who doesn't?

 

Quote

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

 

Spoiler

No comment

 

Quote

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

 

Spoiler

No

 

Quote

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

 

Spoiler

Canada will have more.

 

Quote

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

 

Spoiler

Nah they'll probably lose a spot in men's.

 

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On 2/23/2019 at 6:30 AM, Old Cat Lady said:

1. Which country will win the most medals?

Japan.

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

Yes.

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

All of them.

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

Papadakis/Cizeron.

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

Ice Dance.

6. Will there be a +5 Final GOE element in the competition?

Yes: A spin from a woman.

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

Meh.

8. Will anyone get a Final PCS of 10?

Yes: P/C

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

Meh.

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

No.

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

Canada: smaller.

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

Yes.

 

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Lol, this doesn't seem to be too popular so I'll throw Phil Hersch and Jackie Wong into the prediction game.

 

https://www.rockerskating.com/news/2019/3/19/2019-world-championships-preview-men-another-epic-comeback-on-the-way

 

http://www.globetrottingbyphiliphersh.com/home/2019/3/14/who-will-win-2019-figure-skating-worlds-my-medal-crystal-ball-perfectly-clear-on-just-one-event

 

I keep wanting to change my men's prediction but it's such a crap shoot past top 4.  I have no clue who I would want to replace anyone with.

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Ladies:

Spoiler

1. Kihira

2. Zagitova

3. Tursynbaeva

4. Medvedeva

5. Sakamoto

6. Samodurova

 

Men:

Spoiler

1. Hanyu

2. Chen

3. Uno

4. Jin

5. Samarin

6. Zhou

 

Pairs:

Spoiler

1. James/Cipres

2. Sui/Han

3. Tarasova/Morozov

4. Zabiiako/Enbert

5. Moore-Towers/Mariaro

6. Della Monica/Guarise

 

Dance:

Spoiler

1. Papadakis/Cizeron

2. Hubbell/Donohue

3. Weaver/Poje

4. Chock/Bates

5. Sinitsina/Katsalapov

6. Gilles/Poirier

 

 

 

1. Which country will win the most medals?

Spoiler

Japan

 

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

Spoiler

No

 

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

Spoiler

3

 

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

Spoiler

Dance - Papadakis/Cizeron

 

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

Spoiler

Dance

 

6. Will there be a +5 Final GOE element in the competition?

Spoiler

No

 

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

Spoiler

Chen

 

8. Will anyone get a Final PCS of 10?

Spoiler

No

 

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

Spoiler

Chen

 

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

Spoiler

Yes

 

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

Spoiler

Canada

 

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

Spoiler

No

 

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Men

Spoiler

1. Yuzu 

2. Shoma

3. Chen

 

 

Ladies

Spoiler

1. Rika

2. Miyahara

3. Zagitova (yea I think she’s gon rise I’m speaking it into existence)

 

1. Which country will win the most medals?

Spoiler

Japan

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

Spoiler

Nope. Elizabet will get in the top 6 I think.

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

Spoiler

2.

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

Spoiler

I’m not sure about this one as I don’t follow Dance much and the others are all pretty close.

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

Spoiler

Dance.

6. Will there be a +5 Final GOE element in the competition?

Spoiler

Yes.

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

Spoiler

Yuzu

8. Will anyone get a Final PCS of 10?

Spoiler

Nope

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

Spoiler

Chen

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

Spoiler

Yes

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

Spoiler

Canada 

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

Spoiler

No

 

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I'm not brave enough to predict podiums. :c

1. Which country will win the most medals?

Japan

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

lol, no

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

every discipline will have WR

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

wow, hmmm... men, hehehehehe

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

ladies, ice dance

6. Will there be a +5 Final GOE element in the competition?

yes

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

Nate

8. Will anyone get a Final PCS of 10?

yes

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

Zazura :tumblr_inline_mm2wnxgTbV1qz4rgp:

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

no

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

Canada smaller

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

no

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ok this is hard and oc the fear of jinxing is there but...I've predicted Zuzu gold till now and (WD aside) got it right so...skating gods I can tolerate if I lose this game BUT gimme Zuzu gold plz plz plz:snonegai:

 

Ladies:

 these are more of my anti-jinxing for Rika...and Kaori...than predictions but oh well :laughing: and I'm feeling bad for leaving out Satton:13877886:

Spoiler

 

1. Alina Zagitova

2. Rika Kihira

3. Evgenia Medvedeva

4. Kaori Sakamoto

5. Sofia Samodurova

6. Bradie Tennel

 

 

Men:

Spoiler

 

1. Yuzuru Hanyu

2. Shoma Uno

3. Nathan Chen

4. Alexander Samarin

5. Boyang Jin

6. Jun Hwan Cha

 

as long as Yuzu is on top, every podium is fine to me (tho Boyang medalling would be a nice bonus...but Yuzu on top first and foremost)

 

 

Pairs:

Spoiler

 

1. Vanessa JAMES / Morgan CIPRES

2. Evgenia TARASOVA / Vladimir MOROZOV

3. Wenjing SUI / Cong HAN

4. Cheng PENG / Yang JIN

5. Natalia ZABIIAKO / Alexander ENBERT

6. Kirsten MOORE-TOWERS / Michael MARINARO

 

feeling bad for not having more faith in S/H and P/J:13877886:

 

Dance:

Spoiler

 

1. Gabriella PAPADAKIS / Guillaume CIZERON

2. Madison HUBBELL / Zachary DONOHUE

3. Alexandra STEPANOVA / Ivan BUKIN

4. Madison CHOCK / Evan BATES

5. Piper GILLES / Paul POIRIER

6. Kaitlyn WEAVER / Andrew POJE

 

trying to predict politics here too :P

 

1. Which country will win the most medals?

Spoiler

Russia

 

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

Spoiler

No

 

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

Spoiler

  three - Men, Ladies, ID

 

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

Spoiler

Papadakis/Cizeron

 

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists? 

Spoiler

IceDance

 

6. Will there be a +5 Final GOE element in the competition?

Spoiler

Yes

 

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

Spoiler

Chen

 

8. Will anyone get a Final PCS of 10?

Spoiler

  No

 

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

Spoiler

 Hanyu

 

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

Spoiler

yes

 

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

Spoiler

Canada will have smaller team

 

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

Spoiler

 

No

 

 

 

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The medalists in each discipline

 

Spoiler

Men:

 

1. Yuzu - no jinx :fingerscrossed:

2. Nathan

3. Shoma

 

Ladies:

 

1. Rika Kihira

2. Kaori Sakamoto

3. Alina Zagitova

 

Pairs:

 

1. James/Cipres

2. Tarasova/Morozov

3. Sui/Han

 

Ice Dance:

 

1. Papadakis/Cizeron

2. Hubbell/Donohue

3. Stepanova/Bukin

 

Bonus questions:

 

1. Which country will win the most medals?

 

Spoiler

Japan

 

2. Will we have an all Japanese/Russian ladies top 6?

 

Spoiler

No

 

3. How many of the gold medalists will win with at least 1 world record?

 

Spoiler

2

 

4. Which skater/team will win by the largest margin?

 

Spoiler

Ladies/Rika Kihira

 

5. Which disciplines will have no falls from any of the medalists?

 

Spoiler

Ice Dance

 

6. Will there be a +5 Final GOE element in the competition?

 

Spoiler

Yes

 

7. Who will get the most points on a single element?

 

Spoiler

Yuzu <3 

 

8. Will anyone get a Final PCS of 10?

 

Spoiler

No

 

9. Who will have the highest total TES score?

 

Spoiler

Yuzu <3 

 

10. Will the US increase its world team for next year (currently 9)

Spoiler

No

 

11. Will Canada or Japan have the smaller team next year or will they tie?

 

Spoiler

Japan will have the smaller team

 

12. Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants in next year’s worlds?

 

Spoiler

No

 

*

 

Thank you for doing this! :thanks:

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My two penneth (wish list):

 

Medals

 

Spoiler

Ladies

 

Kihira

Medvedeva

Miyahara

 

Mens

 

Hanyu

Jin

Chen

 

Dance

 

Papadakis/Cizeron

Gilles/Porier

Chock/Bates

 

Pairs

 

James/Cipres

Peng/Jin

Sui/Han

 

 

 

 

1.  Most medals

 

Spoiler

Japan

2.  All Japanese or all Russian top 6

 

Spoiler

No

3.  How many Golds with at least 1 world record

Spoiler

4

4.  Skater/team winning by largest margin

Spoiler

Hanyu

5.  Discipline with no falls from any medalists

Spoiler

Ice Dance

6.  Will there be a +5 final GOE element in competition

Spoiler

Yes

7. Who will get most points in single element

Spoiler

Hanyu

8.  Will anyone get a final PCS of 10. 

Spoiler

Yes

9.  Who will have the highest total TES

Spoiler

Hanyu

 10.  Will US increase its world team for next year

Spoiler

No

11.  Will Canada or Japan have smaller teams next year or tie

Spoiler

Canada

12.  Will Russia qualify for 12 entrants at next year's Worlds.

Spoiler

Yes

 

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