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2019/2020 Season prediction game


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 @LadyLou  @river @Paskud  @airi @Louitunes @TeaFrida @ralucutzagy @Sayu93 @Figure_Frenzy @sallycinnamon

 

As usual, I don't claim accuracy so here's a spreadsheet of everyone's answers.

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OUiN1fTeRBdZgJCuOuhfkiMSiWyj1UoCLHZf__vFFBs/edit?usp=sharing

 

Just a reminder that the scoring for questions 8-10 is  -1 for each incorrect answer, +1 for each correct e.g. on BQ8, if you guessed 1 discipline wrong, it meant you only got 2 points because it was scored as +3 for correct answers - 1 for the incorrect one = 2 total. On reflection, this doesn't make a ton of sense but since I stated it that way on the form, I scored it that way.  Team Japan scored surprisingly well - all the singles skaters scored higher at 4CC than at nationals.

 

Answer Key            
             
Ladies Podium 1. Rika Kihira 2. Young 3. Tennell 4. Higuchi    
Pairs Podium 1. Sui/Han 2. Peng/Jin 3. KMT/Marinaro 4. Calalang/Johnson    
Dance Podium 1. Chock/Bates 2. Gilles/Poirier 3. Hubbell/Donohue 4. Wang/Liu    
             
BQ1: Will the cumulative score of the gold medalists from 4cc or Euros be higher?
Europeans 968.7          
  962.45          
BQ2: Will Yuzu attempt 4axel in either practice or competition?
No            
             
BQ3: Will any ice dancer that finishes in the top 8 receive a negative GOE on any element?
Hawayek/Baker RD          
Min/Eaton RD          
Soucisse/Firus FD          
             
BQ4: Will team USA, team Canada, or team JPN get the most medals?
USA 4          
             
BQ5: Who will have the highest raw PCS score combined across both segments?
Yuzu 94.04          
             
BQ6: Will anyone in the top 6 of any discipline LAND a jump or combo with positive GOE that they have never before landed?
No            
             
BQ7: Will any of the medalists get a higher PCS score than TES score in either segment?
Jason Brown FS          
Sui/Han FS          
Peng/Jin FS          
             
BQ8: In which disciplines, will the 4CC champion score higher than the Euros champion (+1 point for each correct, -1 for each incorrect)
Men            
             
BQ9: Which members of Team Japan will score higher than at Nationals? (+1 point for each correct, -1 for each incorrect)
Yuzu 299.42          
Kazuki Tomono 274.82          
Yuma Kagiyama 270.61          
Rika Kihira 232.34          
Kaori Sakamoto 202.79          
Wakaba Higuchi 207.46          
             
BQ10: In which segments, will we see either an individual 10 (e.g. if only 1 of the 9 judges gives a 10 for SS, it counts) from any judge or an element with a composite +5 GOE before factoring (trimmed mean of raw score). +1 for each correct, -1 for each incorrect
Men's SP
Yuzu - five 10's
         

 

RESULT

  Ladies Pairs Dance BQ1 BQ2 BQ3 BQ4 BQ5 BQ6 BQ7 BQ8 BQ9 BQ10 Total Points
sallycinnamon 9 9 5 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 8 49
Figure Frenzy 4 9 6 2 2 2 0 2 2 2 4 4 6 45
ralucutzagy 9 9 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 2 2 42
river 5 9 5 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 4 0 6 41
Old Cat Lady 9 9 5 0 2 2 2 0 0 0 2 2 4 37
LadyLou 6 9 5 2 0 2 2 2 0 2 4 0 2 36
Louitunes 9 9 5 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 3 2 2 36
airi 5 5 5 0 2 0 2 2 2 2 4 0 4 33
Paskud 6 5 5 0 0 2 2 0 2 2 4 2 2 32
Sayu93 3 9 2 2 2 2 2 2 0 2 4 -4 4 30
TeaFrida 4 9 0 2 2 2 0 2 0 0 2 2 2 27

 

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Looks like my eville plan worked. sallycinnamon managed to pull into a tie for the lead with river so we'll have a real competition for gold in the overall by worlds.  The bronze medal is only 3 points apart for 3 of us.

 

Overall scores including Autumn Classic - I omitted people who missed more than 1 event

river 332 21 28 19 28 34 32 37 42 25 25 41                  
sallycinnamon 332 25 32 22 28 23 29 31 46 19 28 49                  
Old Cat Lady 307 21 22 21 32 23 32 31 44 20 24 37                  
LadyLou 305 28 31 20 30 25 22 27 44 17 25 36                  
airi 304 20 23 24 30 32 33 25 42 21 21 33                  
Paskud 260 15 23 23 23 29 33 25 34 23   32                  
Louitunes 250   22 23 17 20 23 30 36 17 26 36                  
TeaFrida 245   18 25 22 23 21 24 44 19 22 27                  


 

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On 2/11/2020 at 8:45 AM, Old Cat Lady said:

Looks like my eville plan worked. sallycinnamon managed to pull into a tie for the lead with river so we'll have a real competition for gold in the overall by worlds.  The bronze medal is only 3 points apart for 3 of us.

 

Overall scores including Autumn Classic - I omitted people who missed more than 1 event

river 332 21 28 19 28 34 32 37 42 25 25 41                  
sallycinnamon 332 25 32 22 28 23 29 31 46 19 28 49                  
Old Cat Lady 307 21 22 21 32 23 32 31 44 20 24 37                  
LadyLou 305 28 31 20 30 25 22 27 44 17 25 36                  
airi 304 20 23 24 30 32 33 25 42 21 21 33                  
Paskud 260 15 23 23 23 29 33 25 34 23   32                  
Louitunes 250   22 23 17 20 23 30 36 17 26 36                  
TeaFrida 245   18 25 22 23 21 24 44 19 22 27                  


 

This round could go better :waffle: but excited for the final round! :smiley-happy057:

as always, thank you @Old Cat Lady  :tumblr_inline_mm2wnxgTbV1qz4rgp:and congrats for your evil plan working :laughing: (following ISU and its rivalry narrative? :P )

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  • 4 weeks later...
6 hours ago, Old Cat Lady said:

Gosh I still have hard time thinking Worlds are next week... thank you for the reminder!

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