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2019/2020 Season prediction game


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4 hours ago, Old Cat Lady said:

Results for Rostelecom.  We have a 3-way tie for 1st place.  Sorry Mercedes, still no paper medal for you

  Men Ladies Pairs Dance BQ1 BQ2 BQ3 BQ4 BQ5 Total Points
airi 3 7 6 9 2 2 2 0 2 33
Paskud 7 7 6 9 0 0 0 2 2 33
Sukigirl 3 9 6 9 2 0 0 2 2 33

Waaaaa:bliss-smiley:

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 :emoticonaci2019:

as I thought, I have bombed Rostelecom:embSwan:

 

I'm being quite conservative for NHK predictions... (if Zu exceedes my expectations, I'll be happy to bomb another round).

Sad that G/F have no chance for the final, I hope Marco's hand is (reasonably)fine now.

Most important outcome for me is that those who were injured and couldn't go to the GPF last season will be healthy and in GPF this time + please give me bb Rika in GPF too (less concerned about Alena because of her previous gold, that would also make her win tons of tiebreakers if needed)

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Ooh, these bonus questions are tricky. Q2 in particular is making me waffle back and forth about what I would recommend if I were on the TCC coaching team. And Q5... well, I was wrong about the gala at SCI, but given that I've never been happier to be wrong about something in my life (I still have not recovered from seeing PW live), my feelings won't be hurt if I get it wrong again.

 

Also, @Sukigirl... I think I'm 1+2 now? See you in Italy! :laughing:

 

 

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 @LadyLou @Legacy and Hope @river @Paskud @mercedes @airi @Louitunes @TeaFrida @ralucutzagy @Sayu93 @Figure_Frenzy @Sukigirl @sallycinnamon

 

A lot to cover in this edition of the GPF game. Firstly, your forms for GPF predictions.  Just a reminder that I purposely omitted the men's predictions to minimize "fear of jinx" from impacting the game.  Although, I fear TSL just gave Yuzu the kiss of death by predicting him to win - have they ever made a correct prediction?

 

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSf8P0GKYUfM2HwDehaDMHzepBdcrG3l69PcA9F5A99cVR7SxA/viewform?usp=pp_url

 

Entrants:

Men - Hanyu, Chen, Aymoz, Samarin, Aliev, Jin
Ladies - Trusova, Kostornaya, Scherbakova, Zagitova, Kihira, Tennell
Dance - Papadakis/Cizeron, Hubbell/Donohue, Sinitsina/Katsalapov, Stepanova/Bukin, Gilles/Poirier, Chock/Bates
Pairs - Sui/Han, Mishina/Galliamov, Boikova/Kozlovskii, Peng/Jin, Pavliuchenko/Khodykin, Moore-Towers/Marinaro

 

NHK SCORES 

Louitunes is the only one to correctly guess Yuzu's ex, Sayu93 is the only one to correctly answer BQ4, River got 11 of 12 medalists correct which is the most in the game so far and the most I can recall in any prediction game.

 

Louitunes, I'm guessing you meant Stepanova/Bukin for silver in dance but since you wrote Alexander/Igor I couldn't give you the points since Bukin's first name is Ivan and there was no last name written.  If Igor is a diminutive of Ivan, someone let me know. eta: Corrected Bukin's 1st name

 

ETA: Made a mistake in scores.  Corrected table - let me know if you see anything weird.

Spreadsheet with everyone's answers:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1SfMFOLSDMgH42bE40fNxVfMW9Wac0JZvIatMgHmSDik/edit?usp=sharing

 

  Men Ladies Pairs Dance BQ1 BQ2 BQ3 BQ4 BQ5 Total Points
mercedes 6 5 5 6 2 0 0 0 0 24
TeaFrida 4 5 4 9 2 0 0 0 0 24
airi 4 5 5 9 0 2 0 0 0 25
Paskud 3 5 4 9 2 2 0 0 0 25
LadyLou 4 5 5 9 0 2 2 0 0 27
Sukigirl 3 5 6 9 2 2 0 0 0 27
Figure Frenzy 4 9 5 9 2 0 0 0 0 29
Louitunes 4 9 5 6 2 2 0 0 2 30
Sayu93 4 5 6 9 2 0 2 2 0 30
Old Cat Lady 4 9 5 9 2 2 0 0 0 31
ralucutzagy 6 5 5 9 2 2 2 0 0 31
sallycinnamon 4 9 5 9 0 2 2 0 0 31
Legacy and Hope 3 9 5 9 2 2 2 0 0 32
river 6 9 9 9 2 2 0 0 0 37
                     

 

 

Men's Podium 1. Hanyu 2. Aymoz 3. Sadovsky 4. Voronov    
Ladies Podium 1. Kostornaya 2. Kihira 3. Zagitova 4. Yokoi    
Pairs Podium 1. Sui/Han
2. Moore-Towers/Marinaro
  3. Mishina/Galliamov
4. Efimova/Korovin
 
Dance Podium
1. Papadakis/Cizeron
  2. Stepanova/Bukin 3. Guignard/Fabbri 4. Fear/Gibson  
             
BQ1: Which GP event will have the highest cumulative score among champions?
           
NHK: 998.62          
             
BQ2: Will we see an attempt in competition of either 4 axel, 4flip, or 4 lutz by Yuzu?
           
No            
             
BQ3: Will we see any new records for margin of victory?
           
No            
             
BQ4: In ice dance, will any of the medalists place behind a non medalist in either portion?
           
Yes - Bronze Medalists Guignard/Fabbri were 4th behind Fear/Gibson in the FD
           
             
BQ5: What will Yuzu skate to as his main gala program (as opposed to a short encore)?
           
Haru yo koi            

NHK Answer Key

 

 

 

GPF Qualifying Scores

No one predicted Boikova/Kozlovskii scoring higher than Sui/Han and most of us either under estimated the ice dance inflation or guessed a men's WR so  none of us guessed the correct combo of world records.   If you picked Zhou as one of your qualifiers, I used your first alternate for men's qualifiers since Zhou withdrew.  ETA: your answers are on the 1st and 2nd page of this thread

  Men Ladies Pairs Dance BQ1 BQ2 Total Points
sallycinnamon 8 10 10 12 6 0 46
LadyLou 8 10 8 12 6 0 44
Old Cat Lady 8 10 8 12 6 0 44
TeaFrida 8 10 8 12 6 0 44
river 8 10 6 12 6 0 42
airi 8 10 8 10 6 0 42
Legacy and Hope 6 10 6 12 6 0 40
Louitunes 6 6 8 10 6 0 36
mercedes 6 8 8 6 6 0 34
Paskud 4 8 8 10 4 0 34

 

 

GPF Qualifying Answer Key

1.Who will qualify for the finals. (2 points for each correct)
Men - Hanyu, Chen, Aymoz, Samarin, Aliev, Jin
Ladies - Trusova, Kostornaya, Scherbakova, Zagitova, Kihira, Tennell
Dance - Papadakis/Cizeron, Hubbell/Donohue, Sinitsina/Katsalapov, Stepanova/Bukin, Gilles/Poirier, Chock/Bates
Pairs - Sui/Han, Mishina/Galliamov, Boikova/Kozlovskii, Peng/Jin, Pavliuchenko/Khodykin, Moore-Towers/Marinaro
 
2.Who will be the top qualifier in each discipline? If there is a tie in points for placement, I will use highest total score as a tie breaker.
(2 points for each correct)
Hanyu - 322.59
Tusova - 241.02
Boikova/Kozlovskii - 229.48
Papadakis/Cizeron - 226.61
 
3. Which disciplines will have a new world record by the end of the series? (2 points total)
Ladies: Trusova - Total 241.02, FS 166.62 / Kostornaya - SP 85.04
Pairs: Sui/Han - SP 81.27
Dance: Papadakis/Cizeron - Total 226.61, RD 90.03 (also 88.69 @ IDF), 136.58
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This is the current standings for the overall. Since not everyone participated in every event, I did both a total and an average based on event results (omitted qualifying scores since high score potential skews averages too much)

 

  Total Skate America Skate Canada IdF Cup of China Rostelecom NHK Qualifying
river 220 28 19 28 34 32 37 42
Legacy and Hope 213 31 23 31 25 31 32 40
sallycinnamon 211 32 22 28 23 29 31 46
airi 209 23 24 30 32 33 25 42
Old Cat Lady 205 22 21 32 23 32 31 44
LadyLou 199 31 20 30 25 22 27 44
Paskud 190 23 23 23 29 33 25 34
mercedes 181 25 21 30 24 23 24 34
TeaFrida 177 18 25 22 23 21 24 44
Louitunes 171 22 23 17 20 23 30 36
ralucutzagy 138   22 27 26 32 31  
Sukigirl 91       31 33 27  
Sayu93 80       24 26 30  
Figure_Frenzy 77       22 26 29  

 

  Ave Skate America Skate Canada IdF Cup of China Rostelecom NHK
Sukigirl 30.33       31 33 27
river 29.67 28 19 28 34 32 37
Legacy and Hope 28.83 31 23 31 25 31 32
airi 27.83 23 24 30 32 33 25
ralucutzagy 27.60   22 27 26 32 31
sallycinnamon 27.50 32 22 28 23 29 31
Old Cat Lady 26.83 22 21 32 23 32 31
Sayu93 26.67       24 26 30
Paskud 26.00 23 23 23 29 33 25
LadyLou 25.83 31 20 30 25 22 27
Figure_Frenzy 25.67       22 26 29
mercedes 24.50 25 21 30 24 23 24
Louitunes 22.50 22 23 17 20 23 30
TeaFrida 22.17 18 25 22 23 21 24
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3 hours ago, Old Cat Lady said:

Louitunes, I'm guessing you meant Stepanova/Bukin for silver in dance but since you wrote Alexander/Igor I couldn't give you the points since Bukin's first name is Andrei and there was no last name written.  If Igor is a diminutive of Andrei, someone let me know.

 

What? Bukin's name is Ivan. Andrei Bukin is his father.

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